Publishing Details

Publication Type: 
Journal Article
Authored by:
Pardey, Philip G.; Beddow, Jason M.; Hurley, Terrance M.; Beatty, Timothy K.M.; Eidman, Vernon R.
Publication Date: 
October 2014
Journal Title: 
Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics
Journal Volume: 
58
Journal Issue: 
4
Page Range: 
571-589
DOI: 
10.1111/1467-8489.12072

Abstract

The notion that global agricultural output needs to double by 2050 is oft repeated. Using a new International Agricultural Prospects (iAP) Model, to project global agricultural consumption and production, we find in favour of a future where aggregate agricultural consumption (in tonnes) increases more modestly, by around 69 per cent (1.3 per cent per year) from 2010 to 2050.

Notes

A summary of this article is provided in the InSTePP Brief "World Food Futures to 2050."

Citation

Pardey, Philip G.; Beddow, Jason M.; Hurley, Terrance M.; Beatty, Timothy K.M.; Eidman, Vernon R. (2014) "A Bounds Analysis of World Food Futures: Global Agriculture Through to 2050," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, vol. 58, 4.

Additional Attributes

Primary Contact: Philip Pardey
Keywords: Agricultural Production, Agricultural Productivity, Biofuels, Crop Yields, Cropland Area, Food Consumption, Income, Models, Population