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Cover World Food Futures to 2050

World Food Futures to 2050

Publication Date: November, 2014

Sustainably feeding the world’s still growing, increasingly richer, more urbanized and overall (but not equally, everywhere) ageing population during the decades ahead will still be a tall order. These projections indicate the task is doable, but by no means is complacency in order.

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AJARE Oct 2014 Cover

A Bounds Analysis of World Food Futures: Global Agriculture Through to 2050

Publication Date: October, 2014

The notion that global agricultural output needs to double by 2050 is oft repeated.

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Staff Paper P14-09

The International Agricultural Prospects Model: Assessing Consumption and Production Futures Through 2050 (version 2.1)

Publication Date: August, 2014

Pardey et al (2014) provide new projections of agricultural consumption and production for the period 2010 - 2050, derived using version 2.1 of the International Agricultural Prospects (iAP) model.  This paper provides details of the iAP model used to derive those results.

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Cover Senay Thesis

Modelling Invasive Species-Landscape Interactions Using High Resolution, Spatially Explicit Models

Publication Date: January, 2014

The primary aim of the research in this thesis was to identify and quantify uncertainty associated with model predictions of species distributions.

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Novel Three-Step Pseudo-Absence Selection Technique for Improved Species Distribution Modelling

Publication Date: August, 2013

By considering spatial, ecological and environmental aspects, the three-step method identifies appropriate pseudo-absence points for correlative SDMs. We illustrate this method by predicting the New Zealand potential distribution of the Asian tiger mosquito (Aedes albopictus) and the Western corn rootworm (Diabrotica virgifera virgifera).

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Habitat Suitability Predictions for Selected Glasshouse Biological Control Agents Using Maxent and Multi Modelling

Publication Date: March, 2013

Three exotic biological control agents (BCAs) (Delphastus catalinae (Hom), Macrolophus melanotoma (Costa/M. pygmaeus (Rambur) and Nesidiocoris tenuis (Reuter)) are considred to have potential for control of pests in New Zealand glasshouse production and are the subject of an application to the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).

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Threats to Cassava Production: Known and Potential Geographic Distribution of Four Key Biotic Constraints

Publication Date: September, 2011

Insect pests and plant diseases reduce cassava yields substantially, posing a threat to food security throughout the developing world.

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Potential Global Crop Pest Distributions Using CLIMEX: HarvestChoice Applications

Publication Date: August, 2010

HarvestChoice provides data, information and tools to support strategic investment decisions in agriculture.

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Projecting Agriculture and Agricultural R&D Potentials

Publication Date: January, 2010

In this chapter we use market and spatial evidence in conjunction with a multi-market equilibrium displacement model to assess the potential economic benefits arising from research-induced improvements in the local and spillover productivity performance of important agricultural commodities in LAC.

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Priorities for Realizing the Potential to Increase Agricultural Productivity and Growth in Western and Central Africa

Publication Date: August, 2009

We identify a set of development priorities for agriculture that cut across West Africa, at both the country and the regional level, to achieve economy-wide growth goals in the region.